The Betwun guide

Writing prediction rules and understanding settlement

You write your own resolution rules when you create a Betwun bet. Good rules make the result checkable. Before placing a stake, both sides should be able to read the conditions and agree on what would count as YES, NO or an unresolved outcome.

Specify what is being measured

Name the event or measurement, the exact threshold and whether equality counts. ‘At least 100’ includes 100; ‘above 100’ does not. Avoid subjective conditions such as whether a launch was successful unless the terms define a measurable result.

Name the source and the time window

Identify the source that will be used, the dates being measured and the applicable time zone. Separate the deadline for accepting the bet from the time the result can be evaluated. If a source publishes with a delay, account for that in the resolution time.

For example: ‘Will the named weather station report a daily maximum of at least 30°C on the specified date, using its published daily observation?’ Complete the station, date, source and publication timing before creating that bet.

AI proposes a verdict from evidence

After resolution becomes due, the system seeks evidence and proposes a result. Missing or failed evidence can leave funds held while resolution is retried. Insufficient evidence may lead to a proposed void rather than a forced YES or NO result.

A 24-hour window to challenge

A proposed verdict starts a 24-hour challenge window. Funds remain held during that period. A participant who disagrees should open the bet and explain the dispute before the displayed deadline, pointing to the relevant conditions and evidence.

A dispute sends the bet to human review and keeps stakes held until staff decide. An unchallenged proposal can settle after the window ends. A final void refunds the stakes.